Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247276           1           4          52          38           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115885           1           2          68          26           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   5.32000e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             0.75        3.75       60.50       31.50        3.50     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      M2.3