Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248482           2           3          58          30           7        C6.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116660           1           2          64          29           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   5.23000e-07           2           0          64          31           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.75        1.50       62.25       29.50        5.00     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7