Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247801           1           2          54          36           7        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118249           1           1          64          31           3        C5.6
GOES Xray  =   5.18000e-07           2           0          62          33           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.25        0.75       63.00       31.00        4.00     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4