Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250741           3           3          69          20           5        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120245           2           3          60          33           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   5.25000e-07           2           0          64          31           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       116.000           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
 
together                             1.75        1.50       60.75       31.75        4.25     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0