Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251661           2           4          65          26           3        C4.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123515           2           2          64          29           3        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   5.51000e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.7
est. ISN   =       101.000           1           1          67          26           5        C5.5
 
together                             1.25        1.75       67.00       26.25        3.75     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5