Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252922           2           6          64          27           1        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121301           1           3          63          31           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   5.69000e-07           1           0          71          25           3        C5.1
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.25        2.50       65.50       27.75        3.00     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1