Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243603           1           0          66          31           2        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108582           2           4          73          18           3        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   4.88000e-07           2           1          65          31           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       105.000           1           1          65          26           7        C6.4
 
together                             1.25        1.75       67.25       26.50        3.25     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4