Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237988           1           6          68          19           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101305           2          13          68          15           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   3.58000e-07           3           5          77          15           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       87.0000           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.50        6.00       70.00       19.25        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2