Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232196           3          15          59          21           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000922490           2          21          51          24           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.88000e-07           2          23          67           8           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.50       19.50       61.00       15.25        1.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8