Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228943           2          24          63          10           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000875474           4          39          48           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.25000e-07           4          41          50           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.50       39.50       48.75        7.00        0.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5