Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224792           5          46          45           4           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000842318           4          52          37           7           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   1.43000e-07           9          64          26           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             5.50       46.25       42.50        5.25        0.50     B9.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.9