Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236201           2          15          56          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103610           2          12          64          14           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   3.07000e-07           4          11          75          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       55.0000           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       15.00       64.00       15.50        3.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0