Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243282           1           0          66          29           4        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112415           2           5          63          28           2        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   4.79000e-07           3           1          69          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.50        2.00       64.25       29.25        3.00     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3