Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252143           2           4          66          25           3        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123427           2           2          64          29           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   6.51000e-07           1           0          62          31           6        C8.3
est. ISN   =       100.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.50        1.75       64.25       28.50        4.00     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4