Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246663           1           3          52          40           4        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118358           1           1          64          31           3        C5.7
GOES Xray  =   5.35000e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       104.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             0.75        1.50       62.00       32.25        3.50     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7