Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240686           1           6          63          24           6        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109639           4           3          71          21           1        C4.1
GOES Xray  =   4.09000e-07           1           1          80          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.50        5.00       68.25       22.50        2.75     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6