Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245553           1           3          61          35           0        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112447           2           5          62          29           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.03000e-07           1           2          77          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             1.75        6.50       64.75       25.75        1.25     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7