Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246656           1           3          52          40           4        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110662           3           3          63          28           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   6.35000e-07           1           0          64          30           5        C6.9
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             1.25        6.50       60.50       28.75        3.00     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4