Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241185           1           5          64          24           6        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104636           3          10          63          17           7        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   5.01000e-07           2           1          61          35           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       58.0000           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             2.25        8.50       63.25       22.25        3.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2