Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235507           4          11          56          26           3        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000953579           2          15          54          25           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.23000e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.00       10.75       64.50       20.25        2.50     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1