Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222327           7          46          41           6           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800887          13          47          34           6           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   1.49000e-07          11          60          27           2           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             9.00       47.25       38.50        4.75        0.50     B8.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)