Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229256           1          23          62          13           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000920406           2          22          52          21           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.33000e-07           4          34          53           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.75       26.75       56.75       12.50        1.25     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6