Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245106           1           2          60          36           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116523           1           2          65          28           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   4.74000e-07           2           1          74          22           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.50        3.25       67.25       26.25        1.75     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9