Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245123           1           2          61          35           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120314           2           3          60          33           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   3.57000e-07           3           5          77          15           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       95.0000           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.50        2.75       67.00       26.75        2.00     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2