Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252570           2           5          67          24           2        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120411           2           3          60          33           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.84000e-07           2           1          69          27           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.50        4.75       64.75       26.25        1.75     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3