Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255147           1           3          63          33           0        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115684           1           2          67          27           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.39000e-07           1           0          65          29           5        C6.8
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             0.50        6.50       64.50       26.50        2.00     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8