Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240801           1           6          65          23           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100023           2          12          63          19           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.14000e-07           3          11          76          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             1.50       11.75       68.00       16.25        2.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1