Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234470           5          11          63          19           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000908321           3          28          50          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.98000e-07           4          46          45           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             4.00       28.25       54.50       11.75        1.50     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B4.3