Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230227           1          21          59          16           3        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800329          15          46          34           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.67000e-07          12          56          26           6           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       28.0000           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             8.75       44.25       37.75        8.50        0.75     B9.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2