Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230464           2          20          57          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000837554           5          50          36           9           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   4.99000e-07           2           1          63          34           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             3.00       22.50       55.75       17.25        1.50     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7