Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233204           2          15          63          17           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000912034           3          27          49          18           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   4.37000e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             1.50       15.50       65.75       15.25        2.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6