Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234055           4          12          63          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938360           1          17          53          26           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   3.98000e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       56.0000           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75       13.00       63.50       19.75        2.00     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5