Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241592           1           3          65          25           6        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110585           3           3          62          29           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.75000e-07           3           1          72          23           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.50        3.00       64.75       27.25        3.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4