Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240724           1           5          64          24           6        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110048           3           2          67          26           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   4.32000e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.25        4.50       67.75       23.25        3.25     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4