Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245020           1           2          60          36           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114418           1           4          62          30           3        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   5.73000e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.0
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             0.75        3.75       65.50       28.00        2.00     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6