Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246608           1           3          52          40           4        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117797           1           1          64          31           3        C5.1
GOES Xray  =   5.80000e-07           1           0          68          29           2        C6.5
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             0.25        5.75       63.25       28.25        2.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M9.0