Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234886           5           9          59          24           3        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000967921           3          17          55          20           5        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   4.25000e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             3.00       12.75       64.00       17.25        3.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1