Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230833           4          19          57          18           2        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000903285           3          28          50          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   3.21000e-07           4          10          73          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       37.0000           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             4.25       26.50       53.75       14.25        1.25     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7