Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225075           6          43          46           5           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809069          12          44          40           4           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   2.48000e-07           4          38          50           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             6.50       36.50       49.75        6.50        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      B6.9