Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222646           5          47          40           8           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000758827          15          41          35           9           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.51000e-07           4          35          51          10           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       35.0000           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             7.50       44.25       39.00        9.25        0.00     B9.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2