Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225795           5          41          44          10           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000866794           4          40          48           8           0        C1.4
GOES Xray  =   2.56000e-07           1          30          60           9           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             3.50       33.75       53.25        8.75        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7