Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239331           1           4          73          17           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104415           3          10          63          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   4.20000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.25        8.50       70.75       15.50        4.00     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0