Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248118           2           3          56          32           7        C6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123580           2           2          64          29           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   4.40000e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.4
est. ISN   =       94.0000           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.50        1.75       68.00       24.75        4.00     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1