Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248343           2           3          59          29           7        C6.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126725           2           2          64          28           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   4.13000e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       97.0000           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             1.25        1.75       67.00       25.50        4.50     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3