Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248099           1           3          56          33           7        C7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127677           1           0          63          32           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.85000e-07           1           4          77          18           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =       94.0000           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.00        1.75       66.25       27.00        4.00     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4