Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250224           3           2          68          21           6        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00130736           1           0          63          32           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.34000e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       85.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        1.25       67.75       25.50        4.25     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0