Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247262           1           4          52          38           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120941           2           3          61          33           1        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   5.14000e-07           2           0          63          33           2        C6.1
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        4.25       56.50       34.75        3.00     C6.6
 
realized                                                                                      M3.5