Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237095           2          12          62          19           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103627           2          12          64          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   4.13000e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       11.25       67.00       16.50        3.75     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      M2.2