Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227285           3          31          53          13           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000896163           3          33          49          13           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   1.46000e-07          12          60          27           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       34.0000           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             6.25       42.75       41.00        9.50        0.50     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      B3.4