Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227780           3          32          55          10           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000911636           3          28          50          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.34000e-07           7          62          30           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             4.50       42.25       44.00        8.25        1.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B7.0